Joint Modeling of Longitudinal Relational Data and Exogenous Variables

This presentation describes a framework based on shared, time varying stochastic latent factor models for modeling relational data in which network and node-attributes co-evolve over time. Our proposed framework is flexible enough to handle both categorical and continuous attributes, allows us to estimate the dimension of the latent social space, and automatically yields Bayesian hypothesis tests for the association between network structure and nodal attributes. Additionally, the model is easy to compute and readily yields inference and prediction for missing link between nodes. We employ our model framework to study co- evolution of international relations between 22 countries and the country specific indicators over a period of 11 years. This is joint work with Rajarshi Guhaniyogi.